Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x508942d2d7838463231088e9faa6c6e58b49fd19b4965114df914f78788268c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 5,392$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.91 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 29c | 2,400$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 1,940$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.31 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 29c | 1,432$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.71 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 931.85$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 43c | 674.63$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 54c | 648.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +669.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 28c | 478.21$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 67c | 435.28$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 24c | 385.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 77c | 298.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 295.71$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 30c | 275.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 30c | 259.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 24c | 186.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 59c | 178.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 63c | 175$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 41c | 168$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 31c | 167.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 69c | 149$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 61c | 123.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 32c | 118.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…42c2backed Over | 20c | 99.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 37c | 89.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 69c | 88.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 29c | 88.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 60c | 85.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 85.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 76c | 72.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…244dbacked Under | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 29c | 69.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 69c | 66.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 63c | 62.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 33c | 60.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 39c | 59.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 52.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 31c | 46.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed Over | 36c | 43.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…75d7backed Under | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 69c | 32.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 69c | 30.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 38c | 30.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 45c | 29.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 38c | 28.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 59c | 26.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 67c | 22.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 68c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 70c | 18.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Under | 72c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: AS Monaco FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.