TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c13,534$6,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,916.2224349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c9,476$5,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,022.3810640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under49c6,124$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over52c4,200$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.876347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c4,103$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c2,662$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.5830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under45c2,432$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+83.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c2,226$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.561,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under47c2,127$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.314742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over51c1,943$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.33946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under50c1,901$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.452759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under59c1,691$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.8422745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under45c1,542$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under45c1,277$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6365151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over55c1,018$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.1918351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over15c915.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under42c720.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under42c716.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+80.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over56c512$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.721931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c510.34$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2229637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c370.57$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over52c309.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.694151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c182.85$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.683231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c169.6$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5546450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over26c165.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.313447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under63c136.51$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.514100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under26c128.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+138.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Under45c119.15$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.534100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under14c116$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.76616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under24c113.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.393537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c108.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3645233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under76c103.61$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.249046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597227.8%20 W · 52 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under59c93.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over40c91.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c82.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.081,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over70c78.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.42356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over45c74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.32544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over47c71.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f90…7f51backed Under46c69.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c66.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9122854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c62.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1913250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over51c61.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.674934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d23…53d3backed Over21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Over53c59.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c56.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7423342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over47c55.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over55c48.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c46.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over67c41.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick64cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over52c41.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.712937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c41.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4626041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2827…4ee7backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over46c32.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1216224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over50c31.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.124748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over60c30.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Over56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa28f…d3a8backed Over57c26.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over57c26.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-53.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over61c25.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.615860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd726…a442backed Over51c25.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.752948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe201…b90bbacked Under49c24.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.27060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over55c19.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9216448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over59c18.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.011526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.