Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf6c76105b2659e27c335f0442f5db11f74f01609fd259f332abee9170f2832e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Havre ACof AS Monaco FC, Le Havre AC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Le Havre AC | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AS Monaco FC | 46c | 6,596$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.36 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed AS Monaco FC | 45c | 1,720$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.86 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed AS Monaco FC | 26c | 874.64$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.75 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 419.16$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked AS Monaco FC | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Le Havre AC | 64c | 169.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Le Havre AC | 76c | 132.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed AS Monaco FC | 46c | 120.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AS Monaco FC | 18c | 120.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked AS Monaco FC | 39c | 106.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed AS Monaco FC | 26c | 94.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed AS Monaco FC | 45c | 92.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked AS Monaco FC | 46c | 86.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked AS Monaco FC | 25c | 76.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked AS Monaco FC | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked AS Monaco FC | 42c | 54.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed AS Monaco FC | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed AS Monaco FC | 46c | 46.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed AS Monaco FC | 39c | 45.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Le Havre AC | 54c | 44.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed AS Monaco FC | 28c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Le Havre AC | 74c | 35.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed AS Monaco FC | 47c | 30.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed AS Monaco FC | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed AS Monaco FC | 49c | 25.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Le Havre AC | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed AS Monaco FC | 46c | 24.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Le Havre AC | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Le Havre AC | 59c | 19.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed AS Monaco FC | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: AS Monaco FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.