TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xace3…f9b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9366.7%62 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$9.83
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$19.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$6.2
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.5
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.19
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$7.1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+77%+$17.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$9.39
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$11.99
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick76cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will PAOK win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick79cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick79cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$8.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.