Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44de1dbc622adb8cc35ace91a9327b57315a33af597e7f6d8663e78a2f1f1000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 78c | 12,230$9,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.13 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 7,968$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.14 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Under | 1c | 5,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 4,074$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.82 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 69c | 2,584$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.03 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 22c | 2,272$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…fcc3backed Under | 72c | 2,075$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 50c | 2,000$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.37 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 1,487$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.26 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 22c | 998.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.58 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 46c | 969.97$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 3c | 680.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 22c | 554.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 23c | 518.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 78c | 451.66$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked Over | 70c | 426.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 68c | 395.26$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 64c | 364.52$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.29 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 288.96$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 15c | 274.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 67c | 258.83$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Under | 67c | 257.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 79c | 253$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 78c | 221.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 41c | 201.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 76c | 201$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 49c | 199.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 22c | 180.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 24c | 171$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 23c | 159.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 60c | 156.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 22c | 156.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 148.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 39c | 123.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Under | 21c | 76.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…e8f2backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed Under | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 23c | 58.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 33c | 56.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 23c | 52.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 38c | 49.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 34c | 34.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0c…9aedbacked Over | 78c | 32.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 53c | 28.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Under | 37c | 27.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…8ae0backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 76cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5this page
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)Hammarby Fotboll won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)Hammarby Fotboll won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.