TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hammarby Fotbollof RSC Anderlecht, Hammarby Fotboll
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,142 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed RSC Anderlecht8c1,973$166 inLost-$165.862,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed RSC Anderlecht3c1,364$46 inLost-$46.429337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed RSC Anderlecht9c1,200$110 inLost-$109.694235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed RSC Anderlecht8c553.02$44 inLost-$44.2466150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5e…2ea3backed RSC Anderlecht7c350$25 inLost-$24.5156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed RSC Anderlecht8c299.99$25 inLost-$2526417.8%47 W · 217 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked RSC Anderlecht9c224.33$20 inLost-$20.1927545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked RSC Anderlecht17c199.98$34 inLost-$347328.8%21 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked RSC Anderlecht8c178.38$14 inLost-$14.2769448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked RSC Anderlecht15c166.67$25 inLost-$251520%3 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+167.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked RSC Anderlecht8c139.99$11 inLost-$11.216443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3974…cb78backed RSC Anderlecht15c133.33$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed RSC Anderlecht10c114.74$11 inLost-$11.222,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Hammarby Fotboll78c28.14$22 inWon+$6.1945348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.