TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c16,583$10,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,232.743,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over34c7,302$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.231,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Under47c5,696$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,038.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c5,437$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9997346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under52c3,617$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.9510157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c3,513$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.542,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over49c3,353$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.954151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over54c2,797$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Over52c2,502$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Over49c2,440$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over57c2,273$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under44c2,271$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.7343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c2,145$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.3612832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c2,093$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.671,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Under58c2,068$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under44c1,965$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.41216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under47c1,835$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over47c1,800$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.993740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under49c1,600$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Under49c1,458$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.562360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c1,368$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.722,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c1,356$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.0369448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9329…035dbacked Over44c1,339$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+455.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over12c1,297$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1929337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c1,149$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.732,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under23c1,114$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.791546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over37c1,027$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6617446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53011657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over53c1,000$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5285058%29 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over53c965.71$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.4188048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over53c961$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.151,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417d…f3c5backed Over56c949.98$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c948.68$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.6866150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over53c903.04$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.981,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over49c877$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.733444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over49c718.3$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.971643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over57c666$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6218145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under39c663.32$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.551,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde57…666fbacked Over51c616.9$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x979e…3a87backed Over57c616.12$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under58c608.34$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7585260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over54c578.52$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5196947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over51c533$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.831338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over50c523.72$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9431430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under49c497.77$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2729959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010463.5%66 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over47c449.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+82.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c373$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.882,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over53c355.06$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1765535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over29c340.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.791560%9 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c330.93$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.272871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over65c300$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Under43c299.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.992259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over53c299$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.177855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c238.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4555545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over46c235.04$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.121250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over51c230$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.38757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d38…cc4ebacked Under52c221$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.084247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under49c219.9$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under54c213$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7153564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under50c210.69$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.394235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+88.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f16…59d2backed Over49c199.47$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Under50c178.22$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.146852.9%36 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over48c169.02$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.133043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc2…9343backed Under47c165.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.772755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c159.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1547649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0716443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under50c135$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2665549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under51c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.176245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c131.2$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9127545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under43c119.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1750154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over14c117.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6279532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…1730backed Over57c115.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Under44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under56c112.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8629654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under45c100.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0213050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over48c99.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.982433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under64c94.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5529470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over54c90.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7719736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503122.6%7 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over13c83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7935944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced1…280ebacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.423949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over52c73.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.937043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.68461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.92142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.421,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over46c57.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.114362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fed…e9cabacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f14…b567backed Under64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under46c41.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.544156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Over42c41.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.233951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Over51c41.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.