TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
RSC Anderlechtof Hammarby Fotboll, RSC Anderlecht
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,882 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1851…7016backed Hammarby Fotboll30c1,677$500 inLost-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Hammarby Fotboll46c729.48$338 inLost-$338.3274155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hammarby Fotboll9c649.32$61 inLost-$60.853,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hammarby Fotboll14c568.2$82 inLost-$81.741,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed RSC Anderlecht79c545.66$430 inWon+$115.542,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked RSC Anderlecht70c487.67$341 inWon+$146.396947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked RSC Anderlecht70c479.26$334 inWon+$145.6827545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed RSC Anderlecht45c360$162 inWon+$19837750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Hammarby Fotboll32c315.92$100 inLost-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Hammarby Fotboll13c192.3$25 inLost-$2529337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked RSC Anderlecht75c192$144 inWon+$4845348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked RSC Anderlecht73c179.99$132 inWon+$48.248249.8%240 W · 242 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked RSC Anderlecht50c125.46$63 inWon+$62.5278544.8%352 W · 433 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Hammarby Fotboll22c101.6$22 inLost-$22.0411839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed RSC Anderlecht63c100$63 inWon+$3779732.2%257 W · 540 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Hammarby Fotboll18c88$16 inLost-$15.841637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c24…0f25backed RSC Anderlecht67c72.94$49 inWon+$24.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed RSC Anderlecht69c46$32 inWon+$14.261,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7494…db73backed RSC Anderlecht74c22.58$17 inWon+$5.871266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ff…4e38backed RSC Anderlecht74c20.27$15 inWon+$5.27862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked RSC Anderlecht73c15.26$11 inWon+$4.121,03746.1%478 W · 559 L-2.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.