Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5f74edd76a0cac62c74ba722c512bfc3633b80f645624258bff00d7b38614d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 3,481$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.76 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 44c | 2,149$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.56 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,943$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.14 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 43c | 918.85$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Yes | 56c | 680.36$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 606.2$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.73 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 547.85$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.66 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 470.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.54 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 463.62$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.38 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 47c | 420.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.97 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 59c | 402.83$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 44c | 356$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 297.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 34c | 236.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 56c | 231.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 184.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 181.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 57c | 175.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 57c | 174.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 57c | 171.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 140.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 130.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 44c | 130.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8950…5c28backed Yes | 57c | 123.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 69c | 123.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…2763backed Yes | 77c | 120.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 32c | 117.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 106.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked No | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 44c | 81.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 47c | 71.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 60.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 39c | 50.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…dbaebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 46c | 40.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 45c | 36.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 49c | 33.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 39c | 30.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 56c | 30.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 44c | 27.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 39c | 26.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 56c | 24.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)Hammarby Fotboll won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)Hammarby Fotboll won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.