TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd87e…36fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7844.9%35 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35%+$4.89
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$85.74
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.98
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.12
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$102.67
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$38.98
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.92
England to score first vs. Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$34.67
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$29.54
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$26.85
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$106.84
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$40.76
BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$42
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$54.89
Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.85
GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.64
Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.42
Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.43
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$32.34
Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.11
Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Fredrikstad FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.24
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$42
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$31.16
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$101.88
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$42
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+183.9%+$29.14
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.35
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+110.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.