Europa Conference League · resolved market
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bb655a24c3988642d831ac74b6c41d7d999a70839d9c1a370b0bd729f31ba73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 6,102$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.76 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 64c | 4,295$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.09 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 2,001$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.82 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,994$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.25 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 1c | 1,978$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Over | 68c | 1,857$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,704$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.38 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 2c | 1,030$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 896 | 48.2%432 W · 464 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,199 | 47.5%569 W · 630 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,319 | 50.8%670 W · 649 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Under | 45c | 781.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Under | 7c | 593.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 521.45$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.22 | 2,433 | 37.4%909 W · 1,524 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 64c | 310.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 293 | 37.5%110 W · 183 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Under | 48c | 306.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 302.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.13 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 63c | 292.18$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Under | 18c | 277.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 51c | 276$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 12c | 267.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +251%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 10c | 214.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 5c | 210.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 204.05$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 47c | 201.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 53c | 188.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 174.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Under | 11c | 167.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 51c | 149.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 145.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…97c4backed Over | 52c | 132.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 29c | 127.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 34c | 126.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 297 | 53.9%160 W · 137 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 47c | 119.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 114.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 46c | 113.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 45c | 110.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 51c | 97.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 76c | 86.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 55c | 62.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Over | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 55c | 53.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 53.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 33c | 48.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 31c | 43.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 73c | 40.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Over | 38c | 37.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 33c | 33.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 44c | 33.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 58c | 31.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 51c | 30.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5506backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 51c | 23.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 76cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 470 | 36%169 W · 301 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 2.5this page
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 3.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 4.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 5.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Team to AdvanceRSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.