Europa Conference League · resolved market
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2715368a366071fad9c8c81b5c8fd6295d64c35497f22d70febd4f7d54361265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 10,786$8,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,186.71 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 32c | 6,622$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.27 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 5,999$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.8 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 65c | 5,831$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,782.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 79c | 4,805$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.55 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 1,975$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.65 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 1,528$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 72c | 1,259$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.13 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 5c | 1,062$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 2c | 1,015$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 927.41$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.05 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…64bbbacked Under | 74c | 793.78$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 725.94$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.6 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Over | 18c | 550.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 80c | 439.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Under | 69c | 297$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 294.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.31 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 30c | 199.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 24c | 134.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…54b0backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 47c | 131.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 63c | 117.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 66c | 62.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 71c | 51.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…aa62backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 31cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 38.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 71c | 31.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 72c | 30.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under | 36c | 29.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 46c | 26.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Under | 61c | 23.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 23.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…8ae0backed Under | 64c | 23.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 3.5this page
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 2.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 4.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 5.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Team to AdvanceRSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.