TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Under50c51,449$25,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,724.585650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c10,401$5,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,202.831,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over38c8,635$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.711,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over50c6,527$3,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,232.9215045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over50c5,930$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.144047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over31c4,366$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.7475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under51c4,100$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.237950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under50c4,002$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Over50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over50c2,866$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.8419952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c2,104$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.81,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under53c1,677$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over31c1,581$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.571,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under58c1,548$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.272,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c1,478$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.5534747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under52c1,329$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.124252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over38c1,259$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.122,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over49c1,000$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.451,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over49c1,000$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.981,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under54c957.34$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44129037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over8c900$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c851.33$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.921,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over49c727.35$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.132,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25055946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23011963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over48c494.06$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1532139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over50c418.91$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1264633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under67c401.15$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7260156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under67c383.02$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over50c368$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over52c326.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over49c299$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.359551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over49c269.76$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c232.78$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.393,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11031039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over50c216.68$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3418247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Over49c199.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3120934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over50c152$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7612757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over50c142.3$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.151827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over46c140.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.615041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c117$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.52,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c111.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.52,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over50c104.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9650656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under48c99.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.984443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over50c99.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.953759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c92.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.178,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over49c91.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.173151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd87e…36fabacked Under49c85.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under68c80.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.574656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over51c71.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5114149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under66c70.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under61c69.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.169453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over47c69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4329653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3217951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c62.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.371,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.827463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over50c58.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0615651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over43c58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Under51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over50c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2478756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Under50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Over46c48.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under75c43.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0135240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over50c37.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.831566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Over47c33.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.815364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over50c32.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.069054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2309…2a24backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over50c29.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9914643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Over52c28.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.584841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Under55c27.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.281330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…a766backed Under54c24.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Over50c20.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd948…f231backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.