South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb525c7fbbc6e34bf216af9d6acc3b47fa09c2993f4ddff3ca69d462837d061fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Under | 50c | 51,449$25,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,724.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 10,401$5,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.83 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 8,635$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.71 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 50c | 6,527$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.92 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 50c | 5,930$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 31c | 4,366$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.74 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.23 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 50c | 4,002$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Over | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 50c | 2,866$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.84 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 2,104$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.8 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Under | 53c | 1,677$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 31c | 1,581$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.57 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 1,548$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.27 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 1,478$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.55 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 52c | 1,329$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 1,259$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.12 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.45 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 49c | 1,000$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.98 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 54c | 957.34$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 8c | 900$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 851.33$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.92 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 49c | 727.35$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.13 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 48c | 494.06$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.15 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 50c | 418.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.12 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 401.15$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 383.02$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 299$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 49c | 269.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 232.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 50c | 216.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Over | 49c | 199.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…6d36backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 50c | 152$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 142.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 140.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 111.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 50c | 104.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 50c | 99.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 92.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 49c | 91.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Under | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under | 68c | 80.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 51c | 71.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 66c | 70.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 61c | 69.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 62.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 50c | 58.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 50c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Over | 46c | 48.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 75c | 43.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 50c | 37.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Over | 47c | 33.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 50c | 32.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…2a24backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 52c | 28.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 55c | 27.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Under | 54c | 24.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…f231backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.