South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47cb9265ff74d2fe1020ed9f50213c69b6e35f23fba00e835aea4ed8a432c685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 15,689$6,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,408.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 11,415$6,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,724.62 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 62c | 11,395$7,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,110.92 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 5,998$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.11 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…59b3backed Under | 52c | 2,285$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 22c | 1,806$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.61 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 74c | 1,325$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 674.82$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.13 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 44c | 674.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.11 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 31c | 638.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.7 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 54c | 501.16$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.54 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 12c | 369.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.69 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 248.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.85 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…011ebacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 58c | 219.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 51c | 179.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Under | 7c | 168.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 74 | 10.8%8 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 31c | 133.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked Over | 78c | 131.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 27c | 129.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 38c | 125.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 25c | 118.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 37c | 107.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 44c | 95.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 71c | 94.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 83.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Over | 61c | 75.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 49c | 74.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…ca26backed Over | 74c | 61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 52c | 53.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 40c | 52.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 31c | 48.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 39.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa25…9fbebacked Over | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 39c | 30.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Over | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 52c | 21.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 65c | 19.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.