TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x502c…728f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10250%51 W · 51 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.74
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.62
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.5
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$73.22
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$89.42
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$65.67
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$44.81
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$132.2
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$78.51
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$72.51
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.16
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.35
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$30.26
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IF Brommapojkarna vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$98.57
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.6
Brøndby IF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$25.56
Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.92
FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.8
FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
IK Start vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.43
Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.21
Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.89
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.67
Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.43
Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
FC Sion vs. Noah FA: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.8
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$62.58
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FK Auda vs. FCSB: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.69
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
FC København vs. FK Polissia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.32
FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. FC Spartak Trnava: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.67
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$13.92
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$21.67
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$63.45
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$50.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick75cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.62
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.