Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x951cd5e2d43f4ce0f895fb83a5b6571bc4df5d3aebae280139d7c9cea93fcedc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 61c | 1,639$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.56 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 71c | 1,404$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Under | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Under | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 860.9$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.15 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 41c | 584.7$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.69 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 76c | 544.1$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.25 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 66c | 533.39$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Over | 45c | 442.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 329$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 294.74$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 67c | 293.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 37c | 272.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.23 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 36c | 256.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ac…841ebacked Over | 80c | 167.34$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 57c | 165.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 35c | 152.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 72c | 139.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 63c | 126.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 21c | 120.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 26c | 109.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 78c | 103.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 36c | 94.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 63c | 78.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 33c | 74.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 57c | 65.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 58c | 56.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 58c | 51.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…9cf7backed Over | 60c | 46.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 52c | 44.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 53c | 44.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 51c | 40.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 33c | 36.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 87 | 6.9%6 W · 81 L | -21.4wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Over | 75c | 25.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 64c | 17.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 14.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.