Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65dbce48d89fd8e6b39aa01be038de7eb8b4935d3624bca6ababaca3922ad060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 52c | 1,668$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.47 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 11c | 1,085$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Under | 52c | 1,035$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.82 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,029$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.34 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 890.41$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 48c | 593.62$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 52c | 453.23$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 80c | 371.95$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Under | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 295.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.89 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 290.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 49c | 236.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 227$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 212.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 47c | 205.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 53c | 205.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 189.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 109.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 52c | 88.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…d2cbbacked Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf122…7110backed Under | 53c | 83.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 47c | 78.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 57.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 59c | 56.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 74c | 56.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 51.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9e2bbacked Under | 53c | 46.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…13cebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 49c | 36.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 27.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…9c01backed Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 61c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.