TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87d3…a568

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 59 out of 100; worst Asian League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$52.2
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will PSV win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Spread: PSV (-1.5)backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.