WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59c8eb737ff088c96305a0a26194537d96e39d19b8ecc13f50e92cc046ed30d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 51c | 4,019$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.39 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 3,947$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.14 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 51c | 2,824$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.89 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.22 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 51c | 1,424$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.72 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 1,232$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.74 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 1,162$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.36 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 924$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.23 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 851.01$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.37 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 56c | 718.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 48c | 475$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 54c | 327.53$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 46c | 325.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 257.9$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…b44abacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Under | 49c | 215.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 54c | 196.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…167ebacked Over | 54c | 178$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…d13ebacked Under | 51c | 153.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 48c | 152.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 139$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 48c | 134$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 131.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Under | 51c | 123.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 49c | 103.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Over | 34c | 100.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 66c | 100.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 96.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 51c | 94.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 87.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 49c | 78.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 48c | 75.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 51c | 73.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 49c | 62.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 61.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Under | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…cd46backed Under | 52c | 57.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 55.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 51.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…99eebacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 51c | 36.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 50c | 30.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 55c | 26.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…1ee6backed Under | 75c | 26.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 48c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Under | 51c | 20.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5this page
- Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota LynxGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.