WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c45a65ec1267f2ce90789be7157b509b5520283fc61f6f30a756378e6a05248
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Over | 53c | 20,300$10,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,804.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Under | 47c | 11,331$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Over | 55c | 9,286$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 7,868$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.39 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 5,431$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.23 | 301 | 54.8%165 W · 136 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 46c | 3,910$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.22 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 49c | 2,815$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.13 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 1,979$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.26 | 913 | 49.3%450 W · 463 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 1,965$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.24 | 475 | 46.7%222 W · 253 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 1,776$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.02 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 1,630$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.78 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Over | 52c | 1,604$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.96 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 53c | 1,383$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.82 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,280$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.6 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 1,007$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.52 | 803 | 48.7%391 W · 412 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Under | 46c | 852.78$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 821.57$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.67 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 736.02$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.16 | 774 | 42.5%329 W · 445 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 51c | 728.43$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.43 | 292 | 58.6%171 W · 121 L | +20.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 15c | 666.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 624.78$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.38 | 944 | 48.3%456 W · 488 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14fdbacked Under | 48c | 606$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Under | 47c | 580.43$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 50c | 533.33$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…d8fcbacked Over | 53c | 484.03$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 430.38$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.04 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 375.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 18c | 314.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 404 | 40.6%164 W · 240 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 172.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 147.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 632 | 46.8%296 W · 336 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 142.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 130.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…a9a8backed Under | 49c | 128.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…bd29backed Over | 52c | 124.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 24c | 105.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Under | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 102.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 51c | 96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 47c | 87.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Under | 46c | 75.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 50c | 72.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 53c | 69.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 52c | 63.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 47c | 57.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 46c | 51.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 718 | 45.3%325 W · 393 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 47c | 41.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 34.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 670 | 51.5%345 W · 325 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 47c | 30.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Under | 48c | 30.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 47c | 30.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b490backed Over | 54c | 23.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 21.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…188abacked Under | 78c | 13.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5this page
- Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota LynxGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.