WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21b219020d4d148860a58df62148777052cef9ae301a61f9ebc8621dd6432259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 6,017$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.33 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 5,365$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.25 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 4,224$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.99 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 50c | 2,624$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.22 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 2,621$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.78 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 2,473$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.37 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…1975backed Over | 50c | 2,325$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Over | 37c | 2,183$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.17 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 2,151$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.43 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Over | 19c | 1,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 1,284$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.93 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,213$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.55 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 1,007$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.25 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…f1c4backed Under | 54c | 924.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Under | 53c | 904.58$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 772.33$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.04 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 6c | 709.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 46c | 456.23$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.94 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 6c | 434.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 385.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 46c | 318.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 305$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 250.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.15 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 209$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Under | 50c | 205.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 50c | 195.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 314 | 43%135 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 71c | 189.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…cc19backed Under | 67c | 150.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 69c | 141.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 50c | 122.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Over | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 114.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 108.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 51c | 80.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…ebcabacked Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 50c | 64.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…8703backed Under | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 49c | 59.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 43c | 43.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…2225backed Under | 72c | 41.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 40c | 38.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 50c | 28.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 51c | 24.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 75c | 22.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5this page
- Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota LynxGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.