WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb06a59e8a1b31782da7df3d826a8f42f117f2b2673c1624fc573fc91eaed4fd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Minnesota Lynx, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 24,323$12,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,441.25 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 11,643$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,480.94 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 6,793$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.04 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 3,906$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.88 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 2,905$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.42 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 2,855$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 2,444$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.74 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,940$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.37 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 1,935$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.95 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,678$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,480$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.27 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…99a6backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 1,178$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,031$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.19 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 982.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 854.1$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.51 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 754.16$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.91 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…a06fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 663.63$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.27 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 580$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 549.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 424.74$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…01e6backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 329.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 324.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 30c | 312.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 279.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…2dc5backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 216.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Lynx | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 199.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 161$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 159.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…a0bebacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 155.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…bd29backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 148.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 147.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 146.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 141$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 117.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 100.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 88.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…abb5backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 79.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 69.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 67.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 60.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 47.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 42.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5692…b1b0backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 38.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…6d72backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…a117backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…a82abacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)this page
- Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota LynxGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.