WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301b63541d72bc733c4048bed22815b62acdcf6ef9247c3add2266baa08cdfab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Minnesota Lynx, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 21,681$10,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,010.43 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 7,254$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.6 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 5,880$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.45 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 4,247$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 2,520$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.82 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 2,500$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.42 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 1,625$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.25 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 1,496$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.95 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 933.7$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 805$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.28 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 662$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.24 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Minnesota Lynx | 32c | 641.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 592.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 588.57$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.89 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 572.32$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.78 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 555$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 549.57$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.79 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 512.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 494.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 392$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 389.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 303.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.05 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 280$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 269.16$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 264.36$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 239.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 227.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 208.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 180.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 179.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 172.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 163.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…011bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 88.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Golden State Valkyries | 38c | 79.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…1f32backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Minnesota Lynx | 59c | 41.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…99ecbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…9a7fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 38.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 35.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 34.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…6d72backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Golden State Valkyries | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Golden State Valkyries | 78c | 29.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 23.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 21.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 20.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Golden State Valkyries | 70c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)this page
- Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota LynxGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.