WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x748ec3aadc65400072a67d10242d0638d91a53a9845872e7a33fbcc1366b7047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Minnesota Lynx, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 10,402$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.37 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 5,794$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.19 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 36c | 2,769$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.62 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 2,079$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.26 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 1,897$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.8 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 1,762$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.33 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 1,663$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.61 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 1,566$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.95 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 1,316$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.69 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 1,026$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 32c | 1,013$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.16 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 891.15$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.75 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 36c | 768.88$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.73 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 768$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.96 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…c116backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…a9a8backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 338$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 301$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 252.4$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 243.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 175.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 153.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 150.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 141.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536f…7ebabacked Minnesota Lynx | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 30c | 128.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 126$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 82.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 77.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 75.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 75.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…d492backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 73.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Minnesota Lynx | 39c | 72.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 70.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 56.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 51.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 45.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 44.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…5e31backed Minnesota Lynx | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…6d72backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…26b3backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 22.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 18.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)this page
- Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota LynxGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.