WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cca3bc8b437c63c8cb1c92528fb441cb975cb0d2782d4c2ce6f7417d930317f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Fireof Portland Fire, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 71,086$46,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,206.14 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Portland Fire | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,500 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Fire | 35c | 10,710$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,962.73 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…ff78backed Portland Fire | 47c | 10,480$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,596.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Phoenix Mercury | 75c | 8,124$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.3 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 7,342$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.04 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire | 31c | 5,764$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.64 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 5,027$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.33 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Portland Fire | 25c | 4,719$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.73 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked Portland Fire | 40c | 4,501$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 72c | 4,306$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.15 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 3,316$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.13 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…ba20backed Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 3,308$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Portland Fire | 73c | 3,213$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.52 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…fdd9backed Portland Fire | 30c | 3,213$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Portland Fire | 35c | 3,157$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.05 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 2,978$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Portland Fire | 61c | 2,936$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.11 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Portland Fire | 40c | 2,737$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.7 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Portland Fire | 63c | 2,504$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.48 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 2,326$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 2,122$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.95 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 2,078$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.29 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Portland Fire | 32c | 2,053$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.49 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 2,001$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Portland Fire | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 1,891$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.89 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Portland Fire | 35c | 1,890$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.19 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Portland Fire | 36c | 1,630$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.15 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Phoenix Mercury | 72c | 1,281$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.62 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 1,228$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.27 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Portland Fire | 73c | 944.91$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 927.2$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Portland Fire | 36c | 905.56$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 868.03$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.18 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 803.62$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.21 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Portland Fire | 32c | 793.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.23 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Portland Fire | 51c | 737$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.81 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Portland Fire | 31c | 734.18$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.26 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Portland Fire | 37c | 733.59$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.65 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 707.55$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Portland Fire | 20c | 700$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed Portland Fire | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7fd6backed Phoenix Mercury | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Portland Fire | 32c | 615.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Portland Fire | 39c | 600$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Portland Fire | 41c | 599.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Portland Fire | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 3c | 549.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Portland Fire | 34c | 541.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.13 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Portland Fire | 23c | 527.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.59 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 517.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 517.21$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.77 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Portland Fire | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6872backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 489.79$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 480.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Portland Fire | 58c | 465.04$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Portland Fire | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Portland Fire | 32c | 419.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…42d9backed Portland Fire | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Portland Fire | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 399.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Portland Fire | 61c | 383.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Portland Fire | 26c | 378.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.44 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Portland Fire | 31c | 361.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Portland Fire | 62c | 347.34$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Portland Fire | 34c | 327$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 322.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.64 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 322.36$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.86 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 321.81$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 317.86$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.33 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Portland Fire | 35c | 315.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.58 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Portland Fire | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Portland Fire | 38c | 300.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Portland Fire | 53c | 293.56$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Portland Fire | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 270.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Portland Fire | 73c | 260$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 244.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 212.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Portland Fire | 75c | 206.01$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…4826backed Portland Fire | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Portland Fire | 30c | 196.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 75c | 194.23$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 190$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 188.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56dd…83d5backed Portland Fire | 33c | 187.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9845…9d6fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 181.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Portland Fire | 35c | 176.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed Portland Fire | 35c | 175.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 175.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Portland Fire | 45c | 164.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 164$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Portland Fire won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)Portland Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.