TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb035…ff78

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Mls, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$1,036.27
Kingston: Lucas Da Silva vs Tyler Zinkbacked Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$749.59
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Waltonbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,664Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$1,594.71
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,068.16
Quebec City: Andrea Pellegrino vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,746Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+183.1%+$5,026.39
Set 1 Winner: Nakashima vs Medvedevbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009.69
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,260
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Faticbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$322.54
Sion: Kai Wehnelt vs Calvin Hemerybacked Kai Wehnelt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,722
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$638.76
Prague 2: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Martin Krumichbacked Javier Barranco Cosano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,928Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$2,689.8
Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,041Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$2,999.16
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,116.35
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,896Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+46%+$2,710.33
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,454Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$2,925.44
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,922Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$3,026.01
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Mondaybacked Iliyan Radulov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,411Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+152.3%+$3,672.7
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,932.63
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.48
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,840
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,828.79
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,981
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,150
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,927Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$1,558.25
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,422Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138%+$3,342.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.52
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$1,812.7
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,605Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$1,871.65
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,570
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$1,197.49
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.83
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,749.28
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,883Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$5,596.62
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,366Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$3,416
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,563.83
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$2,592.81
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,468
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$950.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.