TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Fatic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maxim Mrvaof Maxim Mrva, Nerman Fatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$380,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$408,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Nerman Fatic35c46,012$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Maxim Mrva52c44,124$22,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,287.478,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Nerman Fatic54c29,907$16,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,084.4363648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Nerman Fatic45c21,275$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60048855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Maxim Mrva63c18,494$11,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,767.5166949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Maxim Mrva72c11,651$8,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.6220860.6%126 W · 82 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nerman Fatic36c10,577$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,771.464,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa107…e6a1backed Maxim Mrva62c8,046$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.671764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Nerman Fatic30c6,487$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.883,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Maxim Mrva77c5,529$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.082,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Nerman Fatic5c3,587$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.369737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Nerman Fatic3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Nerman Fatic26c3,098$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.7736946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Nerman Fatic26c3,081$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.291,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Nerman Fatic31c2,057$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64132747.7%156 W · 171 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nerman Fatic37c2,015$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Nerman Fatic53c1,805$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.3422056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Maxim Mrva60c1,790$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.1711257.1%64 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Maxim Mrva62c1,754$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.874,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab70…774cbacked Maxim Mrva80c1,690$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9416957.4%97 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Maxim Mrva70c1,500$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.781,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxim Mrva62c1,491$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.288,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb035…ff78backed Maxim Mrva76c1,350$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.542259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Maxim Mrva57c1,350$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.588358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Maxim Mrva37c1,294$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.278838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nerman Fatic27c1,274$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.963,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed Maxim Mrva70c1,273$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.598464.3%54 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Nerman Fatic36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43232637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Nerman Fatic60c1,177$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.161,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nerman Fatic33c1,130$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.263,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f2…4c29backed Nerman Fatic4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408326.5%22 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Nerman Fatic36c957.92$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8525542%107 W · 148 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc144…c809backed Maxim Mrva48c941.1$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.111529.6%34 W · 81 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Nerman Fatic22c797.12$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.952847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Nerman Fatic68c753.77$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.919865.3%64 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02fd…104cbacked Maxim Mrva62c731.21$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2130251.3%155 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Maxim Mrva59c725.04$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.084,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Nerman Fatic36c711.61$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1839135.8%140 W · 251 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nerman Fatic52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3642,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Maxim Mrva32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47646551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Nerman Fatic42c620.02$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.821,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Maxim Mrva49c613.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Nerman Fatic26c604.22$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.85131.4%16 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Nerman Fatic38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2287,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Maxim Mrva31c572.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.981,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Maxim Mrva35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4388935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Nerman Fatic46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022346.6%104 W · 119 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Nerman Fatic37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18514142.6%60 W · 81 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Maxim Mrva57c473.69$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.81,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nerman Fatic39c459.93$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.72,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Maxim Mrva63c444.44$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.442,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Nerman Fatic37c441.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.172638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Maxim Mrva76c398.67$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0991051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Nerman Fatic40c379.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Maxim Mrva70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1425158.6%147 W · 104 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Maxim Mrva60c344.33$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5168157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Maxim Mrva64c340.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0830648.4%148 W · 158 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Maxim Mrva55c317.03$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.564837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29f1…ce5fbacked Nerman Fatic39c299$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.611233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Maxim Mrva73c284.15$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.669461.7%58 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Maxim Mrva60c280$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11285748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Nerman Fatic38c273.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0392237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Maxim Mrva57c272.06$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0648242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Maxim Mrva66c265.15$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf65e…e5e6backed Maxim Mrva58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.626160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Nerman Fatic65c256.15$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4136154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…107bbacked Nerman Fatic38c253.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.941154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0210…4debbacked Maxim Mrva80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505360.4%32 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Nerman Fatic24c249.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.181,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nerman Fatic35c243.47$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.421,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Nerman Fatic36c240$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.41,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Maxim Mrva56c222.28$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.031,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nerman Fatic37c217.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.197,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Maxim Mrva46c217.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6914921.5%32 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Maxim Mrva61c207.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7525544.3%113 W · 142 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbae1…a7b6backed Maxim Mrva62c206.25$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.388732.2%28 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Nerman Fatic36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Nerman Fatic54c187.12$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.741,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ca…e129backed Nerman Fatic42c168.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.381258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Nerman Fatic37c161.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5769545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3821…1239backed Nerman Fatic27c155.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Maxim Mrva65c154.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3647058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8591…9b1abacked Nerman Fatic30c153.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Nerman Fatic33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020939.7%83 W · 126 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5765…e45fbacked Maxim Mrva67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d1…73edbacked Maxim Mrva67c148.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.428867%59 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Nerman Fatic43c147.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.265,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Maxim Mrva61c140.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.231,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Nerman Fatic37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Nerman Fatic38c131$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7826546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Nerman Fatic36c130.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.151,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nerman Fatic43c126.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.556,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8784…9b1abacked Maxim Mrva32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856931.9%22 W · 47 L-10.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1216…2068backed Maxim Mrva42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Maxim Mrva46c118.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1326955%148 W · 121 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Nerman Fatic58c118.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.352,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Nerman Fatic51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027943.4%121 W · 158 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Nerman Fatic40c114.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.633,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Nerman Fatic40c114.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.633,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Nerman Fatic34c113.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6814536.6%53 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.