TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf65e…e5e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 54.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellienbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.9
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$112.3
US Open, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$238.67
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$178.84
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.85
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.57
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$135.19
Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldaniusbacked Inaki Montes-De La Torre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$207.85
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Augsburg: Denis Yevseyev vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Denis Yevseyev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Winston-Salem Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Darwin Blanchbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$74.21
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$249.8
Augsburg: Mika Petkovic vs Federico Iannacconebacked Mika Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.85
Augsburg: Maximilian Marterer vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Maximilian Marterer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Augsburg: Denis Yevseyev vs Mirza Basicbacked Denis Yevseyev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Augsburg: Peter Fajta vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Svyatoslav Gulin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.96
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$94.56
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$453
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.