Tennis · resolved market
Augsburg: Denis Yevseyev vs Mirza Basic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x845c1537dd4274587f1abd24fd2b38447c393dbaa5a41654787e8522635bd2d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denis Yevseyevof Denis Yevseyev, Mirza Basic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mirza Basic | 3c | 21,033$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.22 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Mirza Basic | 7c | 3,840$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.82 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mirza Basic | 3c | 3,228$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Denis Yevseyev | 59c | 1,690$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.56 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mirza Basic | 31c | 889.1$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.12 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mirza Basic | 42c | 774.5$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.95 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mirza Basic | 41c | 599.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.95 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…54a4backed Denis Yevseyev | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Mirza Basic | 27c | 480.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 669 | 38.9%260 W · 409 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mirza Basic | 23c | 453.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…e5e6backed Denis Yevseyev | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Mirza Basic | 26c | 320.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Denis Yevseyev | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Mirza Basic | 43c | 270.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Denis Yevseyev | 57c | 224$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Denis Yevseyev | 59c | 187.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Mirza Basic | 25c | 165.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Denis Yevseyev | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denis Yevseyev | 58c | 132.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Mirza Basic | 32c | 128$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mirza Basic | 32c | 114.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Mirza Basic | 29c | 104.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Denis Yevseyev | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 444 | 46.2%205 W · 239 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mirza Basic | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Denis Yevseyev | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Mirza Basic | 34c | 94.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 954 | 55.5%529 W · 425 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Denis Yevseyev | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 150 | 28.7%43 W · 107 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Denis Yevseyev | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Mirza Basic | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…ec0dbacked Mirza Basic | 34c | 57.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Mirza Basic | 29c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Mirza Basic | 38c | 52.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Denis Yevseyev | 59c | 51.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 299 | 68.9%206 W · 93 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Mirza Basic | 43c | 43.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 421 | 51.1%215 W · 206 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…bbd5backed Denis Yevseyev | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Mirza Basic | 41c | 39.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Denis Yevseyev | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 327 | 54.4%178 W · 149 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Denis Yevseyev | 56c | 35.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Denis Yevseyev | 69c | 33.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…ac83backed Denis Yevseyev | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Denis Yevseyev | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Denis Yevseyev | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Mirza Basic | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mirza Basic | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Denis Yevseyev | 60c | 22.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 204 | 57.4%117 W · 87 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Denis Yevseyev | 59c | 21.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Denis Yevseyev | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.