La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb696bb0f70163f1e576fad8adfde2b1cca299fa079034f8d973d4b8e9cd66c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 50c | 2,882$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.07 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 49c | 2,490$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 2,242$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.52 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 44c | 886.48$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 51c | 847.69$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 787.94$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.79 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 784.45$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.93 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 547.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 466.7$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.01 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 446$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.04 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 51c | 396.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 323.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 51c | 291.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.23 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 239.27$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 18c | 233.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…ae86backed Yes | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…e5e6backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 50c | 155.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 16c | 83.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 27c | 77.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 50c | 73.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 50c | 62.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…d6d8backed Yes | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 50c | 46.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 45.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 51c | 40.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…215fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed No | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 36.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 70c | 32.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 49c | 30.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 51c | 28.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 51c | 23.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 51c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
- Will SD Eibar vs. CD Tenerife end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.