TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0928…215f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
US Open, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Tirante vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Tommy Paul vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Prague 2: Filip Jianu vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Roehampton: Billy Blaydes vs Alexis Gautierbacked Billy Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Cincinnati Open: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Kecmanovic vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Shelton vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.