WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe88bfc5cdd20b8b373e368ae01e2451d340084766617274fb0de5d3d31c2d601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked New York Liberty | 70c | 9,554$6,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 7,854$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.28 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Phoenix Mercury | 9c | 7,685$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.32 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed New York Liberty | 59c | 7,497$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.07 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 6,416$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.95 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 6,298$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 6,222$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 6,185$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.84 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Phoenix Mercury | 5c | 5,805$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.81 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 0c | 5,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 63c | 4,569$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.1 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty | 58c | 4,467$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.97 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed New York Liberty | 67c | 4,463$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 4,112$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 3,939$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Liberty | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.99 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 62c | 3,244$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.59 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 2,990$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed New York Liberty | 57c | 2,363$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.04 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…ae27backed New York Liberty | 66c | 2,287$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Phoenix Mercury | 5c | 2,100$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 2,084$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.05 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 2,075$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.55 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 2,065$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed New York Liberty | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked New York Liberty | 38c | 1,962$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.09 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 1,650$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed New York Liberty | 52c | 1,440$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 9c | 1,417$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 1,262$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.89 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Liberty | 37c | 1,167$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.62 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed New York Liberty | 44c | 1,159$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.04 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 1,157$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.36 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed New York Liberty | 33c | 1,149$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.19 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 1,133$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.35 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 1,061$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…7732backed Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 1,050$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Liberty | 57c | 997.14$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.17 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Liberty | 45c | 975$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.6 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Liberty | 42c | 828.61$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.71 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 824$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Liberty | 55c | 822.37$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.77 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 801.85$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Liberty | 75c | 799.75$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 779.26$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Liberty | 51c | 770.74$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.77 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 58c | 729$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 703.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 690.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 675.04$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.12 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d0…5fc2backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 643.85$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed New York Liberty | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 619.41$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.15 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 586.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.16 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 558.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 74c | 497.31$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 479.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…ef8abacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed New York Liberty | 47c | 445$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 437.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed New York Liberty | 45c | 437.18$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.18 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked New York Liberty | 58c | 412.66$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.68 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked New York Liberty | 41c | 401$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.21 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…a72fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 382$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed New York Liberty | 52c | 378.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked New York Liberty | 27c | 362.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 301.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked New York Liberty | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked New York Liberty | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed New York Liberty | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed New York Liberty | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 299.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 289.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 284.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 275.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 275.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 268.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked New York Liberty | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed New York Liberty | 75c | 235.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 233.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…42d9backed New York Liberty | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed New York Liberty | 46c | 176.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked New York Liberty | 72c | 139.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…e8cfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 137.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Liberty | 49c | 134$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 133.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty | 57c | 133.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5Over won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.