TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phoenix Mercuryof New York Liberty, Phoenix Mercury
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe83b…2d16backed New York Liberty52c7,597$3,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,952.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Phoenix Mercury48c7,383$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,838.922646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e0…9970backed New York Liberty53c6,040$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b4f…0591backed Phoenix Mercury31c5,949$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,125.23837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury43c4,807$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.7999548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury47c4,308$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.1483748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty64c3,124$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.381,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty61c2,841$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.955255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Phoenix Mercury50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3004963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty64c2,509$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.6137141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Phoenix Mercury43c2,372$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.932669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Phoenix Mercury51c2,055$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed New York Liberty52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04013746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked New York Liberty49c1,791$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.0938650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Liberty61c1,744$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.4920340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed New York Liberty26c1,001$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.242528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Phoenix Mercury48c999.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.991145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed New York Liberty53c862.83$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.34533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked New York Liberty5c836.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x969e…b834backed New York Liberty64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002917.2%5 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Phoenix Mercury48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3255461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Phoenix Mercury48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32514948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty49c570.39$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2378548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Phoenix Mercury51c504.2$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0664152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Phoenix Mercury75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed New York Liberty50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury55c469.33$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4150646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed New York Liberty53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.54454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury48c407.77$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.631,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Phoenix Mercury44c400$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2265554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Phoenix Mercury49c393$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.433354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed New York Liberty52c383.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007450%37 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed New York Liberty52c372.29$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.477138%27 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Phoenix Mercury29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.837944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked New York Liberty51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.996544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf931…516abacked Phoenix Mercury49c281.63$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Phoenix Mercury50c274$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13728558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Phoenix Mercury51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury54c239.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2830347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty51c227.78$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed New York Liberty54c220.56$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.15242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Phoenix Mercury49c204.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.397435.1%26 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Phoenix Mercury49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.041060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Phoenix Mercury47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1068038.8%31 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed New York Liberty52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed New York Liberty52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked New York Liberty6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1228140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78b…de1abacked New York Liberty52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Phoenix Mercury50c175.64$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8238744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed New York Liberty67c173.13$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.828556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Phoenix Mercury49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.275850%29 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Phoenix Mercury29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.938138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed New York Liberty64c126.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.948748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed New York Liberty67c125.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5919257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked New York Liberty25c118$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed New York Liberty67c117.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2413355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed New York Liberty52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b66…8501backed New York Liberty52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Phoenix Mercury48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.22860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Phoenix Mercury50c109.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5571245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ff…3c64backed Phoenix Mercury75c109$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.25666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked New York Liberty52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015553.5%83 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed New York Liberty51c93.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8429654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Phoenix Mercury48c84.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7232750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed New York Liberty52c77.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8710853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury56c76.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7436750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Phoenix Mercury51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.634463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty45c62.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8232540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01d7…f197backed Phoenix Mercury51c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Phoenix Mercury48c52.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.326054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbafe…33a6backed Phoenix Mercury49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed New York Liberty40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed New York Liberty51c48.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5112359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed New York Liberty52c43.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x624b…d3dbbacked New York Liberty59c43.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.222065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ebe…6dccbacked New York Liberty52c42.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Phoenix Mercury56c41.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1519245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed New York Liberty25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury50c35.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7374942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd60…3927backed Phoenix Mercury49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Phoenix Mercury48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Phoenix Mercury44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Phoenix Mercury48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.68057.5%46 W · 34 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed New York Liberty52c27.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2823746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury48c27.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x557a…9b21backed New York Liberty51c27.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba2c…fddabacked Phoenix Mercury47c26.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed New York Liberty50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Phoenix Mercury50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.55844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Phoenix Mercury54c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.042955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x357a…951ebacked Phoenix Mercury49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked New York Liberty63c23.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.952055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked New York Liberty64c21.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.783158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed New York Liberty68c18.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.182254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury75c14.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6750952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.