Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb730f72f751006271c1601ed5dd7735ca9fbd74f2b271b897901426e9dacef65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billy Harrisof Gonzalo Bueno, Billy Harris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gonzalo Bueno | 3c | 38,127$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Gonzalo Bueno | 3c | 6,498$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Billy Harris | 61c | 5,852$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.66 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gonzalo Bueno | 4c | 4,947$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…4a0fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 4c | 3,362$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Billy Harris | 75c | 2,904$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 39c | 2,051$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.89 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Gonzalo Bueno | 12c | 2,008$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.58 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Gonzalo Bueno | 39c | 1,847$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.61 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 39c | 1,605$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.87 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 33c | 1,209$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.1 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 7c | 1,088$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gonzalo Bueno | 34c | 1,041$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.94 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Gonzalo Bueno | 4c | 900.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Gonzalo Bueno | 4c | 590.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Gonzalo Bueno | 32c | 477$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Billy Harris | 57c | 372$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Gonzalo Bueno | 5c | 317.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Billy Harris | 61c | 292.19$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Gonzalo Bueno | 35c | 266.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gonzalo Bueno | 41c | 263.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 12c | 255.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 39c | 249.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Billy Harris | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Gonzalo Bueno | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Gonzalo Bueno | 8c | 189.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 45c | 177.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Billy Harris | 77c | 168.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Billy Harris | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gonzalo Bueno | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Gonzalo Bueno | 39c | 119.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 33c | 115.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 45c | 107.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Billy Harris | 62c | 103.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Gonzalo Bueno | 25c | 100.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Gonzalo Bueno | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Billy Harris | 57c | 92.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 42c | 86.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Billy Harris | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…8dc9backed Billy Harris | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f8…773cbacked Billy Harris | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Billy Harris | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Gonzalo Bueno | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Gonzalo Bueno | 38c | 65.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Billy Harris | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…b550backed Gonzalo Bueno | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…a298backed Billy Harris | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…215fbacked Billy Harris | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Gonzalo Bueno | 51c | 39.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Billy Harris | 63c | 35.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Gonzalo Bueno | 39c | 35.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Gonzalo Bueno | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Gonzalo Bueno | 51c | 33.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Billy Harris | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Billy Harris | 61c | 25.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Gonzalo Bueno | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Billy Harris | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…384ebacked Billy Harris | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Billy Harris | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Billy Harris | 67c | 17.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Billy Harris | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Billy Harris | 69c | 14.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harristhis page
- Set Handicap: Harris (-1.5) vs Bueno (+1.5)Harris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.