TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe366…6de2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst WNBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
US Open, Qualification WTA: Joanna Garland vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Joanna Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$12.26
Kingston 2: Aidan Kim vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$14.92
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gauthier Onclin vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
ITF W50 Oldenzaal Women: Deborah Chiesa vs Jana Kovackovabacked Jana Kovackova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.32
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$25.3
US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Elizara Yanevabacked Lucie Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.44
US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Taisei Ichikawa vs Hiromasa Koyamabacked Hiromasa Koyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.04
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$28.17
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.33
Kingston 2: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Andrew Fentybacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.09
Philadelphia: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Ekaterina Ovcharenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$48.51
US Open, Qualification WTA: Angela Fita Boluda vs Lin Zhubacked Angela Fita Boluda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.58
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
US Open, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Heather Watsonbacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Winston-Salem Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.12
Philadelphia: Lois Boisson vs Capucine Jauffretbacked Capucine Jauffret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$11.51
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.39
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$90.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.