Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be65e230fec2177886ca3b19dde6afa584f5ef3ecb79b39471234f785d61d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cristian Garinof Spencer Johnson, Cristian Garin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9bb1…4dbebacked Cristian Garin | 72c | 53,929$39,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,835.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spencer Johnson | 35c | 42,743$14,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,985.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Spencer Johnson | 35c | 33,378$11,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,666.21 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Cristian Garin | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cristian Garin | 49c | 6,723$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cristian Garin | 45c | 6,402$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.21 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Spencer Johnson | 41c | 6,224$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.57 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…21babacked Spencer Johnson | 50c | 5,375$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Cristian Garin | 58c | 5,160$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.2 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Spencer Johnson | 37c | 5,142$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.01 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Cristian Garin | 56c | 5,074$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.48 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…58c1backed Cristian Garin | 51c | 4,449$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Cristian Garin | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spencer Johnson | 38c | 4,405$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cristian Garin | 77c | 4,241$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.73 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Spencer Johnson | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.98 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Spencer Johnson | 18c | 3,696$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.09 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Spencer Johnson | 50c | 3,655$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.5 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Spencer Johnson | 17c | 3,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.31per pick | 17cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Cristian Garin | 33c | 3,560$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.2 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Cristian Garin | 57c | 3,472$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.77 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spencer Johnson | 46c | 3,413$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.25 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cristian Garin | 54c | 2,695$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Spencer Johnson | 54c | 2,528$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.85 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cristian Garin | 71c | 2,358$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.82 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cristian Garin | 48c | 2,318$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.99 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Spencer Johnson | 57c | 2,270$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…035dbacked Spencer Johnson | 55c | 2,250$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed Spencer Johnson | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Cristian Garin | 49c | 2,056$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.56 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Cristian Garin | 58c | 1,990$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.4 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Spencer Johnson | 37c | 1,895$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.44 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Spencer Johnson | 39c | 1,870$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.78 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…a3a9backed Spencer Johnson | 45c | 1,743$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Cristian Garin | 47c | 1,673$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.13 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cristian Garin | 65c | 1,657$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.73 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…07a4backed Spencer Johnson | 60c | 1,640$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Cristian Garin | 46c | 1,569$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.16 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Cristian Garin | 47c | 1,562$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.33 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Cristian Garin | 54c | 1,543$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.51 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Cristian Garin | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Cristian Garin | 51c | 1,470$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.95 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cristian Garin | 76c | 1,416$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.77 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spencer Johnson | 60c | 1,383$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.01 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…e22bbacked Cristian Garin | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Cristian Garin | 79c | 1,310$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.02 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +630.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Cristian Garin | 64c | 1,300$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.65 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Spencer Johnson | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Cristian Garin | 49c | 1,212$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.16 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked Spencer Johnson | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Spencer Johnson | 46c | 1,200$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.15 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Cristian Garin | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Spencer Johnson | 42c | 1,155$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.67 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Spencer Johnson | 61c | 1,146$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.83 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Cristian Garin | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spencer Johnson | 60c | 1,132$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.53 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cristian Garin | 61c | 1,118$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.82 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Spencer Johnson | 7c | 1,110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…1d8fbacked Spencer Johnson | 46c | 1,083$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Cristian Garin | 28c | 1,033$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.49 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Spencer Johnson | 33c | 1,007$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.41 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Cristian Garin | 52c | 964.12$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.21 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Spencer Johnson | 53c | 941.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Cristian Garin | 44c | 910.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.86 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spencer Johnson | 43c | 880.68$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Cristian Garin | 45c | 874.04$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.72 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d72ebacked Cristian Garin | 59c | 862.85$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.77 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…fed8backed Spencer Johnson | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Cristian Garin | 55c | 844.73$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.93 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Cristian Garin | 62c | 842.73$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…9120backed Spencer Johnson | 60c | 834$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Cristian Garin | 44c | 803.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.95 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…4b17backed Spencer Johnson | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Cristian Garin | 54c | 747.73$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.46 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cristian Garin | 56c | 741.46$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.7 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cristian Garin | 36c | 741$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.24 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Spencer Johnson | 58c | 740.48$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.48 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Cristian Garin | 56c | 729.49$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.02 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Cristian Garin | 57c | 725.36$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.9 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Cristian Garin | 73c | 696.33$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.18 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Cristian Garin | 55c | 661.15$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.06 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Cristian Garin | 54c | 653.38$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.56 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Spencer Johnson | 64c | 625.93$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.59 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Cristian Garin | 49c | 606.16$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.24 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Spencer Johnson | 62c | 602.65$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.64 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Spencer Johnson | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Cristian Garin | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…ae0ebacked Cristian Garin | 37c | 592.11$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.03 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Spencer Johnson | 11c | 586.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Cristian Garin | 52c | 584.65$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.01 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…f7ddbacked Spencer Johnson | 62c | 583.19$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Spencer Johnson | 43c | 576.88$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.06 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…b0b7backed Cristian Garin | 76c | 570.44$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 109 | 77.1%84 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Cristian Garin | 53c | 548.13$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.92 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Cristian Garin | 57c | 535.75$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.37 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Cristian Garin | 39c | 502.44$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…9b1abacked Cristian Garin | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -10.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Cristian Garin | 43c | 495.06$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.18 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cristian Garin | 69c | 453.71$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…abd3backed Cristian Garin | 66c | 451.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Johnson vs GarinGarin won
- Set 2 Winner: Johnson vs GarinJohnson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.