TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa06e…f2f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Music, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Music at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kingston 2: Keshav Chopra vs Kaylan Bigunbacked Keshav Chopra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,272.73
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,630
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Philadelphia: Lois Boisson vs Capucine Jauffretbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122.99
Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldaniusbacked Inaki Montes-De La Torre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+107%+$1,926.69
Philadelphia: Xiyu Wang vs Ena Koikebacked Ena Koike · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Martinezbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,975.6
Kingston: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midonbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Cancun: Dali Blanch vs Felipe Meligeni Alvesbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,469Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+258.5%+$6,382.99
Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Paulo Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Roehampton: Yuta Shimizu vs Anton Matusevichbacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Roehampton: Emile Hudd vs Alastair Graybacked Emile Hudd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.4
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$2,846.15
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,399Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,291.69
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,228.45
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$4,852.89
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
ITF Landisville: Ayana Akli vs Carolyn Ansaribacked Carolyn Ansari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
ITF Leipzig: Caijsa Hennemann vs Lidia Enchevabacked Lidia Encheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
National Bank Open: Sloane Stephens vs Belinda Bencicbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Southaven: Logan Zapp vs Landon Ardilabacked Logan Zapp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+154%+$1,718.03
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-71.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Dan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.7
Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$475
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$472.65
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+439.7%+$71.29
Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.23
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.37
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$662.46
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.9
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.98
Will Victor Ponta win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will Elena Lasconi win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will Crin Antonescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.43
Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$127.58
Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$35.58
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$336.82
All 19 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$192.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.