World Politics · resolved market
Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb0cc456c1fdffd3a1396acb824c94b0c618277d06b9d57ea7facfd37dd1fba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ef0…4228backed No | 16c | 21,131$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked No | 14c | 14,166$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.1 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed No | 17c | 14,146$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.96 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 73c | 9,625$7,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.47 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 7,443$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2a…2d36backed No | 18c | 6,157$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…5990backed No | 4c | 5,242$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 15c | 4,433$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.11 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 13c | 4,343$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.52 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…95b2backed No | 8c | 3,994$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed No | 22c | 3,855$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.55 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 80c | 3,310$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.67 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…b532backed No | 20c | 3,073$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.32 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 1c | 3,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…f732backed No | 17c | 2,945$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ce…499ebacked No | 16c | 2,663$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…5353backed No | 27c | 2,647$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.66 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6126…4503backed No | 15c | 2,636$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…7b9abacked No | 16c | 2,553$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…7b71backed No | 12c | 2,480$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cc…78fcbacked No | 16c | 2,335$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 19c | 2,013$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed No | 26c | 1,820$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 1,800$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…a4a1backed No | 3c | 1,698$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 1c | 1,696$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ad…1313backed No | 13c | 1,600$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 9c | 1,560$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…54e6backed No | 26c | 1,527$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…763abacked No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…7d0dbacked No | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…b638backed No | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 18c | 1,284$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…f6f2backed No | 8c | 1,275$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…a972backed No | 22c | 1,155$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…7a1cbacked No | 26c | 1,002$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…f942backed No | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 15c | 993.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…f00ebacked No | 14c | 976.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed No | 3c | 940.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…92dcbacked No | 16c | 821.55$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…8aa0backed No | 3c | 811.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 12c | 801.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…98c3backed No | 15c | 787.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…cbf7backed No | 17c | 748.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…be95backed No | 14c | 729.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…f041backed No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469a…9dfebacked No | 15c | 707.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…9d47backed No | 15c | 700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +365.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…2c0fbacked No | 15c | 680$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16df…3109backed No | 16c | 678.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd789…5f45backed No | 6c | 641.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…e38bbacked No | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…a28fbacked No | 10c | 598$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…6fb6backed No | 13c | 577.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…9a1fbacked No | 3c | 570$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…a17cbacked No | 20c | 555.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked No | 17c | 550.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…b91cbacked No | 16c | 518.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…91aebacked No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3a…4b83backed No | 14c | 471.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…ea72backed No | 16c | 470.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…fb60backed No | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 10c | 443$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…697fbacked No | 11c | 413.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…2555backed No | 6c | 401.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc4…70eebacked No | 10c | 400.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d79…bf62backed No | 13c | 378.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…1549backed No | 13c | 375.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 14c | 370.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…8d16backed No | 13c | 369.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…2507backed No | 6c | 355.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…dd01backed No | 15c | 347.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…2bedbacked No | 8c | 339.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…71dbbacked No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…950ebacked No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…c94bbacked No | 13c | 328.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdc…ba4abacked No | 15c | 327.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +421%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…370fbacked No | 15c | 325.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked No | 8c | 322.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c59…31e1backed No | 14c | 319.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…b069backed No | 17c | 318.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed No | 15c | 311$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…bd62backed No | 12c | 305.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked No | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…2992backed No | 15c | 278$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa744…eef2backed No | 7c | 244.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a13…88e0backed No | 14c | 236.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc04…c753backed No | 7c | 231.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…e8f1backed No | 16c | 224.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…9687backed No | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec7…4f41backed No | 15c | 210.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…d977backed No | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.