TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1047…763a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tweets, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 59 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+51.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$124.96
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.2
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+354%+$592.63
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+355.9%+$484
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.91
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.3
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+323.6%+$1,539.74
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$577.3
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,571Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$582.47
Will Lee Jae-myung win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$1,029.07
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,905.92
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$790
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,749.13
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,223.06
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.23
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,445Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+185.4%+$4,534.46
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$836.99
Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$525
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,615.59
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,044.76
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,634.88
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,706Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+1,077.1%+$29,148.85
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$245.02
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$125
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.4
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$46.18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.97
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$2,220
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$16.12
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.96
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.43
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$23.09
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$93
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$394.92
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$360
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$273.73
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.69
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $79 Week of May 4 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 4 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+145.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$156
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,150
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,380
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$831.69
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$1,580
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,419.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+78%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$739.31
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+256%+$1,582
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.6
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,387Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+116.2%+$1,612.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WLD hit $1.3 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,259.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.