Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0443a503a38b90446c8a3826db5ee1323144197ef2b4ed09bcdf545ac104dfcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,986,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,754,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,986,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 9c | 159,874$14,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,548.36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 14c | 98,958$13,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,503.57 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 19c | 90,544$17,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,203.38 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 18c | 67,600$12,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,369.88 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 17c | 58,809$9,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 27c | 51,048$13,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,858.56 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 18c | 45,645$8,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,015.37 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…c3f9backed No | 80c | 41,360$33,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,285.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 72c | 27,810$19,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,877.63 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 3c | 24,817$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 23,229$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.64 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…12b9backed No | 72c | 22,876$16,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,297.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed No | 79c | 22,092$17,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 31c | 21,787$6,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,695.71 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 20c | 19,287$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.94 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…edfabacked No | 78c | 18,588$14,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 22c | 16,734$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.12 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 14c | 16,000$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…333dbacked Yes | 8c | 14,604$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…d050backed Yes | 3c | 13,942$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed Yes | 18c | 13,278$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 78c | 11,115$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.8 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 25c | 11,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…e868backed Yes | 3c | 10,331$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.76 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…44f3backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 18c | 9,927$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.03 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 4c | 9,786$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.32 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 13c | 9,488$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.44 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 66c | 9,450$6,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.09 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f80…fa5cbacked Yes | 9c | 9,117$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 25c | 8,582$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.72 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 24c | 8,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 2c | 7,746$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 18c | 7,665$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.61 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…48e4backed Yes | 39c | 7,189$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…6624backed Yes | 2c | 6,800$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 65c | 6,756$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.79 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…80f4backed Yes | 13c | 6,729$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 19c | 6,725$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.78 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4233…2693backed Yes | 19c | 6,580$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Yes | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…548cbacked Yes | 20c | 5,718$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e40…3080backed Yes | 26c | 4,902$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…48fcbacked Yes | 18c | 4,901$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…0a37backed Yes | 18c | 4,886$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…f54dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,857$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No | 74c | 4,719$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c90…1b59backed Yes | 18c | 4,646$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 10c | 4,611$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.57 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 4,589$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.02 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…0560backed Yes | 18c | 4,539$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…8381backed No | 67c | 4,531$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 25c | 4,487$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.84 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2919…ddbfbacked Yes | 18c | 4,444$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…01bbbacked Yes | 18c | 4,436$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed No | 70c | 4,407$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…e495backed Yes | 18c | 4,376$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…7f8bbacked Yes | 18c | 4,376$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 5c | 4,369$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.17 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 20c | 4,275$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.78 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 3c | 4,188$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 26c | 4,104$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.12 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed Yes | 36c | 4,037$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…9041backed Yes | 4c | 3,889$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 3,874$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,695$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.94 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…3f65backed Yes | 5c | 3,658$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed Yes | 17c | 3,592$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52e1…cc23backed Yes | 19c | 3,586$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…b6c5backed Yes | 3c | 3,463$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 78c | 3,388$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,375$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 15c | 3,258$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.93 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…d256backed Yes | 3c | 3,231$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…0c33backed Yes | 29c | 3,144$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,125$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.33 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…7839backed Yes | 18c | 3,115$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…238cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,077$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…37fcbacked Yes | 23c | 3,048$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…357cbacked No | 69c | 3,039$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 13c | 3,024$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Yes | 19c | 3,014$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…d834backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…26ecbacked Yes | 34c | 2,796$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed No | 74c | 2,745$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 20c | 2,698$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.98 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…dd3cbacked No | 74c | 2,694$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.96 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 18c | 2,644$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.05 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 62c | 2,618$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 4c | 2,579$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,575$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…06b7backed Yes | 4c | 2,510$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…28f8backed Yes | 20c | 2,503$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33de…a7c6backed Yes | 19c | 2,450$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.