Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d0dfc81e6a87faa737df4ca52fae7e18b63d9f7568e364c6c7d8c45fb39e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,310,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,549,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,310,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 678 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 14c | 47,188$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.77 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 62c | 42,442$26,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,032.22 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 10c | 26,551$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.82 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 8c | 26,106$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.92 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Yes | 19c | 22,119$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 31c | 22,002$6,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,835.73 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked No | 78c | 21,840$17,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.36 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 43c | 20,723$8,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,965.32 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 4c | 19,029$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.11 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 3c | 18,242$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 70c | 16,534$11,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.55 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 28c | 16,497$4,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.53 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 71c | 15,919$11,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked No | 79c | 15,537$12,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.48 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 68c | 14,021$9,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.99 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked Yes | 26c | 12,658$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 23c | 12,391$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.67 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…edfabacked No | 68c | 12,259$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 67c | 11,942$7,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 79c | 11,723$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.12 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 14c | 10,341$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.15 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 24c | 9,647$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.95 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 36c | 8,028$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.04 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 14c | 7,910$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.18 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed0…f1aabacked No | 78c | 7,679$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked No | 65c | 6,779$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +113%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…6624backed Yes | 2c | 6,700$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 4c | 6,355$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 59c | 6,113$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.69 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed Yes | 42c | 6,086$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed Yes | 21c | 5,717$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…d050backed Yes | 4c | 5,463$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 71c | 5,450$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 7c | 5,244$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.46 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 52c | 5,096$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.65 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 49c | 5,069$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 6c | 5,046$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.93 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 16c | 5,000$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.14 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 38c | 4,745$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.64 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9a…ed29backed Yes | 47c | 4,661$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33de…a7c6backed Yes | 32c | 4,645$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 5c | 4,524$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 28c | 4,241$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 59c | 4,162$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 31c | 4,033$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.94 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…7bacbacked Yes | 16c | 4,001$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 69c | 3,934$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.38 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 3,790$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 4c | 3,738$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 53c | 3,477$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.32 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 31c | 3,427$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.72 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…333dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,421$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 60c | 3,388$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.23 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…5d52backed Yes | 38c | 3,316$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.57 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…48e4backed Yes | 62c | 3,211$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…8381backed No | 51c | 3,169$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 3,090$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 37c | 3,056$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e40…3080backed Yes | 35c | 3,032$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…c3ebbacked Yes | 32c | 2,980$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…84c7backed No | 60c | 2,900$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…b294backed Yes | 51c | 2,870$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 79c | 2,863$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,838$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 34c | 2,814$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 9c | 2,789$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…caaabacked No | 74c | 2,708$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed No | 71c | 2,650$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 60c | 2,619$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.5 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…37fcbacked Yes | 35c | 2,571$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.9 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…d834backed No | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 77c | 2,500$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.78 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,370$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 43c | 2,365$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.44 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 12c | 2,350$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…a5b0backed Yes | 31c | 2,258$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…c5b6backed Yes | 3c | 2,244$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,225$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,221$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 69c | 2,200$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,150$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.05 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…c23fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,106$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 50c | 2,081$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.85 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 40c | 2,063$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.83 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…e868backed Yes | 6c | 2,034$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 66c | 2,029$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.96 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed Yes | 36c | 2,002$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.58 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,982$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.78 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…8382backed No | 79c | 1,977$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,931$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…ba77backed No | 69c | 1,885$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.