Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a0c1705af33885fbe39a8cb58dd19d6b92cf127e6be065d8d6b232a27d76c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…6952backed No | 0c | 146,438$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.79 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…1402backed No | 0c | 32,509$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc432…d176backed No | 0c | 29,026$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked No | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked No | 0c | 14,890$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked No | 0c | 12,010$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 14c | 10,868$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.89 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…864ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 16c | 9,507$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.79 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e92…6929backed No | 15c | 5,956$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 10c | 3,027$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.72 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 23c | 2,503$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.54 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 13c | 2,335$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…4da1backed No | 1c | 2,154$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked No | 8c | 2,060$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 1c | 2,024$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 4c | 1,286$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 1,199$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 9c | 1,195$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…20d8backed No | 16c | 1,187$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 14c | 880.91$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 11c | 869.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…eb56backed No | 22c | 825$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked No | 12c | 799.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 69c | 754.68$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d6…d2e2backed No | 11c | 635.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 65c | 634.78$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 11c | 544.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 9c | 507.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…8dfcbacked No | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…ae6fbacked No | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…e8a9backed No | 20c | 489.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 9c | 436.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 11c | 362$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 79c | 350$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 68c | 338.75$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…d397backed No | 12c | 315$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…511fbacked No | 30c | 303.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 13c | 253$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…5bc9backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 247.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…0accbacked No | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…1ff5backed No | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84e…e67ebacked No | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…8ca1backed No | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dde…bcdebacked No | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…a3b8backed No | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5d…dafcbacked No | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…3935backed No | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa420…6fd0backed No | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 19c | 222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…0534backed No | 7c | 207$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed No | 14c | 206.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…0387backed No | 15c | 200.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 64c | 200.53$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 161.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 73c | 148$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…6316backed No | 15c | 145.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 13c | 142.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 58c | 138.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…6feebacked No | 9c | 125.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 10c | 125$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…978ebacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3b95backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…41aebacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 13c | 98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5296…6d7bbacked No | 16c | 84.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…f66fbacked Yes | 66c | 74.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…7462backed No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…b446backed Yes | 70c | 63.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 73c | 63.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 79c | 63.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…6a86backed No | 21c | 59.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3566…10febacked No | 21c | 59.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…4724backed No | 20c | 57.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…1210backed No | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…2f6dbacked No | 23c | 51.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…9cd0backed No | 22c | 51.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…361ebacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…466cbacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed Yes | 66c | 49.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 34c | 45.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…0d2cbacked Yes | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 26c | 40.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…c2c4backed No | 28c | 36.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92f…f930backed Yes | 59c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…86d9backed No | 43c | 30.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…6c86backed Yes | 63c | 23.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.