TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$403,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$383,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x196b…6952backed No0c146,438$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.79100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6986…1402backed No0c32,509$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.511717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc432…d176backed No0c29,026$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked No0c26,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+81.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed No0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked No0c14,890$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked No0c12,010$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked No14c10,868$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.897041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd52a…864ebacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked No16c9,507$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.7915020.7%31 W · 119 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e92…6929backed No15c5,956$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.94825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No10c3,027$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7227322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No23c2,503$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.549745.4%44 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb275…28b1backed No13c2,335$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2999…4da1backed No1c2,154$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+84.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7a3…e60abacked No8c2,060$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.62817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-62.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed No1c2,024$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2411212.5%14 W · 98 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed No4c1,286$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.461246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No5c1,199$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.121987.1%14 W · 184 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-69.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No9c1,195$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9221228.8%61 W · 151 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf68…20d8backed No16c1,187$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.95850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked No38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e45…3662backed No14c880.91$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a86…f8e8backed No11c869.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.85525.5%14 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab8…eb56backed No22c825$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.752623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.6wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0780…01bcbacked No12c799.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes69c754.68$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8929436.1%106 W · 188 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79d6…d2e2backed No11c635.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes65c634.78$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.461553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+84.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No11c544.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8739034.4%134 W · 256 L-33.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No9c507.76$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6511032.7%36 W · 74 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca6e…8dfcbacked No11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked No14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed No35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.998637.2%32 W · 54 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2a…e8a9backed No20c489.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.133116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No9c436.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382536%9 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No11c362$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8214031.4%44 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No6c350$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21911.1%1 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes79c350$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747727.3%21 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes68c338.75$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.579741.2%40 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dba…d397backed No12c315$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ce…511fbacked No30c303.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No12c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.45731.6%18 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No13c253$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.812740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3e…5bc9backed No8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No20c247.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.361,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d5…0accbacked No7c223$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1395…1ff5backed No7c223$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84e…e67ebacked No7c223$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5e…8ca1backed No7c223$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dde…bcdebacked No7c223$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc57…a3b8backed No7c223$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab5d…dafcbacked No7c223$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbd…3935backed No7c223$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa420…6fd0backed No7c223$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No19c222$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.183154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d42…0534backed No7c207$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370c…3eb1backed No14c206.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-79.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf75c…0387backed No15c200.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.14450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…008cbacked Yes64c200.53$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.195545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No11c161.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4330718.6%57 W · 250 L-17.8wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed No7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes73c148$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1834534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…6316backed No15c145.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.78812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f1…6415backed No13c142.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9111838.1%45 W · 73 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe653…4594backed Yes58c138.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.232552%13 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c13…6feebacked No9c125.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No10c125$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.084334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No15c110$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86141%25 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c75…978ebacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.051376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+59.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadd5…ce89backed No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e1…3b95backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.32972.4%21 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+51.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0218…41aebacked No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.252751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x302e…88ccbacked No13c98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.743414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x740c…d013backed No37c95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.154122%9 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5296…6d7bbacked No16c84.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Yes70c84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.210866.7%72 W · 36 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3c44…f66fbacked Yes66c74.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f0…7462backed No16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-60.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf76b…b446backed Yes70c63.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes73c63.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.346653%35 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed Yes79c63.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.283842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf9…6a86backed No21c59.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3566…10febacked No21c59.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25f…4724backed No20c57.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.650%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b81…1210backed No21c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…2f6dbacked No23c51.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf75…9cd0backed No22c51.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb69…361ebacked No39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+94.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea7…466cbacked No22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa5…7621backed Yes66c49.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.871060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No34c45.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3911139.6%44 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ac…0d2cbacked Yes64c42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No26c40.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.47857.7%45 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x230b…c2c4backed No28c36.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc92f…f930backed Yes59c30.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+110.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0448…86d9backed No43c30.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…6c86backed Yes63c23.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.