Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f19d5bedd6d601d597d308d86814245974014d8a108395a7690d7a099cacdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,253,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,368,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,253,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 781 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 64c | 86,067$54,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,401.67 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 70c | 76,142$53,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,198.72 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 48c | 49,101$23,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,394.04 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 42c | 46,588$19,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,032.86 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 18c | 22,411$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,372.98 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 43c | 21,121$9,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,163.62 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 62c | 19,795$12,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,597.97 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 62c | 18,870$11,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260.52 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked Yes | 52c | 15,317$7,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,975.07 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 49c | 12,981$6,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,404.46 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 50c | 11,437$5,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,691.03 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 49c | 11,349$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,774.56 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 52c | 10,722$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.88 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 76c | 10,196$7,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.78 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked No | 28c | 10,117$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,247.86 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed No | 41c | 10,050$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.54 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 48c | 9,751$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.89 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 12c | 9,715$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.77 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 24c | 9,445$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,206.25 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…c803backed No | 39c | 9,194$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,588.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 4c | 8,725$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.77 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…2150backed Yes | 8c | 8,591$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.89 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No | 42c | 8,259$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,773.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Yes | 27c | 8,102$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…28f8backed Yes | 63c | 7,978$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 56c | 7,423$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.37 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 9c | 7,380$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,708.67 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 47c | 6,860$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.78 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 26c | 6,629$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.63 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 76c | 6,403$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 48c | 6,200$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 62c | 5,970$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.42 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 55c | 5,430$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.39 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 21c | 5,412$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked No | 68c | 5,400$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.29 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked No | 45c | 5,397$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.8 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 51c | 5,323$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.55 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…f4b4backed No | 49c | 5,304$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…c327backed Yes | 58c | 5,270$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.06 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…449dbacked No | 51c | 5,081$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 78c | 5,066$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.42 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 21c | 5,011$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.23 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…3606backed No | 11c | 4,923$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,373.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 14c | 4,819$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.54 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 4,724$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.85 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 34c | 4,515$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.31 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed Yes | 37c | 4,480$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…5635backed Yes | 40c | 4,415$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 28c | 4,249$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.41 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed No | 43c | 4,189$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.15 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 60c | 4,153$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.22 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked No | 34c | 4,110$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 57c | 4,104$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.59 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 18c | 4,036$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.49 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,906$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.22 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 32c | 3,500$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.69 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed No | 52c | 3,326$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.63 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed Yes | 62c | 3,278$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 5c | 3,253$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 79c | 3,214$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.7 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 56c | 3,128$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.16 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…5d52backed Yes | 60c | 2,878$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2c…7aadbacked No | 34c | 2,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 15c | 2,807$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.86 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 69c | 2,679$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.09 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 37c | 2,628$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.4 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 20c | 2,578$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.7 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…795abacked Yes | 57c | 2,500$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 24c | 2,480$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.61 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 79c | 2,466$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.79 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…7228backed No | 31c | 2,345$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.38 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…a922backed Yes | 1c | 2,299$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,289$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed No | 54c | 2,257$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9a…ed29backed Yes | 65c | 2,242$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,211$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 6c | 2,203$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 28c | 2,054$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.9 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 33c | 1,994$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.49 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…64b4backed Yes | 54c | 1,968$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.9 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed Yes | 20c | 1,968$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.3 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424a…04cebacked Yes | 3c | 1,964$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 37c | 1,920$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,904$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.21 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…1df5backed Yes | 3c | 1,860$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 3c | 1,811$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ab…7c23backed No | 61c | 1,790$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…b913backed No | 80c | 1,790$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,744$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…3b6cbacked No | 21c | 1,716$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…eb56backed Yes | 53c | 1,711$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.63 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 13c | 1,668$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.8 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 78c | 1,629$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.05 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…9901backed Yes | 58c | 1,580$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed No | 51c | 1,542$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked No | 78c | 1,509$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.52 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.