Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd368b70d3203f9360acd9226a144c65f0aa13fc66eb42fd60e9a4746041a37d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 16c | 12,888$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.7 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…1120backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…6b8cbacked No | 0c | 9,718$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 2c | 7,218$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 13c | 5,277$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.6 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked No | 10c | 4,592$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.69 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…9f08backed No | 4c | 4,577$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 11c | 4,464$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.38 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…50bbbacked No | 1c | 4,336$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…7996backed No | 5c | 4,332$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 74c | 4,110$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.38 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 9c | 3,895$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.97 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 22c | 3,708$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.07 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 32c | 2,512$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.4 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 2c | 2,105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…0dbebacked No | 20c | 2,036$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 16c | 2,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…f53bbacked No | 1c | 1,931$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 1,818$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 5c | 1,809$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fd…1cd0backed No | 10c | 1,770$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…44a0backed No | 1c | 1,292$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,027$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…1064backed No | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2c…7aadbacked No | 2c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af7…dadabacked No | 35c | 968.56$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 4c | 950.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 33c | 929.09$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 12c | 885.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…fd4dbacked No | 2c | 871.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…0c33backed Yes | 78c | 792.07$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No | 21c | 779.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 9c | 714.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed No | 17c | 707.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe1…05e8backed Yes | 76c | 695.43$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 12c | 668.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe40f…3dd6backed No | 9c | 657.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 3c | 639.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…1b4cbacked No | 17c | 637.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…85c8backed Yes | 79c | 636.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 18c | 555.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 79c | 505.83$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 17c | 490.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 77c | 471.91$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 434.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7659…be7bbacked Yes | 68c | 431.09$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…01c5backed Yes | 70c | 410.31$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…f2c9backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6958…4aa6backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 8c | 372.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…9001backed No | 9c | 358.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…3badbacked No | 35c | 338.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 13c | 330.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…3c91backed No | 11c | 320.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked No | 11c | 318.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 32c | 314.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…8ad9backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 290$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 6c | 270.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…e376backed No | 8c | 253.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b53bbacked Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…43d7backed No | 21c | 241.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…e4cfbacked No | 28c | 232.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…6c62backed No | 27c | 188.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 16c | 185.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc471…8064backed No | 34c | 182.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…da3fbacked Yes | 67c | 170$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 59c | 166.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…2041backed Yes | 78c | 164.45$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 80c | 162.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff5…b91bbacked Yes | 80c | 156.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 69c | 148.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d08…ee10backed No | 8c | 148.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…da8dbacked No | 27c | 146$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 69c | 145.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…a527backed No | 24c | 124.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked No | 17c | 119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 57c | 114.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 67c | 113.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e8…193fbacked No | 18c | 110.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 21c | 107.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…a35ebacked No | 13c | 103.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +42%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…953ebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…3d4cbacked No | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked No | 16c | 98.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 66c | 93.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 79c | 93.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…49f8backed No | 23c | 92.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 18c | 90.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.