Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x461b594c9192bc7358d5bb8551bb6958c4298144079d6ce0ffabc74dada41280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 79c | 17,202$13,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.68 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 15c | 16,902$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.18 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 77c | 13,721$10,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.77 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 4c | 9,692$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.43 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 19c | 8,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…f4f5backed No | 2c | 6,731$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 28c | 5,359$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.25 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 79c | 5,301$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 6c | 5,006$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.11 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…119dbacked Yes | 74c | 4,835$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 4,684$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 4,397$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 0c | 4,096$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 22c | 3,485$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 20c | 3,351$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.52 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed No | 30c | 3,202$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 32c | 2,934$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.64 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 18c | 2,891$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.06 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe40f…3dd6backed No | 49c | 2,809$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 38c | 2,781$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.64 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a43…2974backed No | 4c | 2,345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…4e68backed Yes | 60c | 2,300$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 9c | 2,228$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…932cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,923$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +137%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 1c | 1,803$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 27c | 1,678$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.2 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 72c | 1,655$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 28c | 1,577$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.69 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 17c | 1,535$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c64…4255backed Yes | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 37c | 1,420$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 71c | 1,391$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.34 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 10c | 1,388$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 1,328$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…790cbacked No | 3c | 1,168$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked No | 10c | 1,158$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 35c | 1,144$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.12 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 78c | 1,117$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.68 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 3c | 1,041$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…714abacked No | 22c | 1,020$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 999.99$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x280a…8effbacked No | 42c | 959.49$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…a2efbacked Yes | 75c | 852.23$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…4498backed No | 21c | 771.9$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…c76cbacked Yes | 78c | 738.9$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 14c | 715.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked No | 30c | 703.03$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 49c | 700$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 18c | 673.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 20c | 585.22$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked No | 27c | 572.16$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 56c | 564.78$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +321.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 63c | 552.32$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…ac87backed No | 38c | 541.45$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 63c | 539.32$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.03 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 19c | 522.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 42c | 500$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…0550backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…f9c0backed Yes | 63c | 499.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…68eebacked No | 21c | 479.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 27c | 472.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…a5edbacked No | 20c | 466.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…42aabacked Yes | 79c | 462.74$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 28c | 429$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…86c4backed No | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…3e18backed No | 18c | 398.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 26c | 363.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b8…69f2backed No | 24c | 357.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 58c | 353.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.55 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 34c | 345.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…113dbacked Yes | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…eb56backed No | 28c | 329.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 16c | 322.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed Yes | 66c | 320$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…e156backed No | 38c | 318.39$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…0b23backed No | 9c | 317.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 69c | 309.95$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x627d…7d68backed No | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Yes | 69c | 291.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 29c | 284.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…8f81backed No | 22c | 262.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…a1ddbacked No | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 17c | 244.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 28c | 237$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 235.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…434cbacked No | 21c | 234.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd262…c312backed No | 6c | 230$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed No | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 14c | 228$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378b…4c2cbacked No | 26c | 220.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 9c | 219.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df6…1edabacked No | 39c | 206.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…74dcbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed No | 51c | 197.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.