TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddae…7d66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
267
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT12857.8%74 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49%+$49.04
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$100.9
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$236.51
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 4 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$177.93
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$45.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$219.68
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$295
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$134.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$163.63
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$403.81
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5125.5%13 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.3
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$191.74
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$194.19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,720.93
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$607
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$32.89
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391.48
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$49.6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Abyssal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Abyssal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.57
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BoyBand (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Seasonbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.74
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.46
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$188.32
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.39
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$42.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$452.35
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs ODDIK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25.5%+$8.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37.9%+$18.21
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.7%+$55.34
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TYLOO (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$11.55
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs magic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,472
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+113%+$108.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$75.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,990Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+41.5%+$826.45
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.5%+$787.39
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$41.86
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Will Solana reach $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$15.18
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,193.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,487.3%+$9,369.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+900%+$4,950
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+182.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$283.76
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$85.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$90.92
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+65%+$97.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$218.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+30.1%+$71.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.