CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9842a215346d6b61aba098b492b4c3486a18bb258443ba584c8df0f05dc972b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof MOUZ, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FURIA | 74c | 60,000$44,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.99 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed MOUZ | 26c | 56,351$14,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,651.26 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,463$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.76 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 12c | 1,288$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed MOUZ | 26c | 1,078$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.22 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed FURIA | 74c | 1,010$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed FURIA | 75c | 788$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 72c | 602.65$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked FURIA | 76c | 597.17$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.94 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked MOUZ | 26c | 478.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed MOUZ | 26c | 477.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 23c | 299.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…cfb5backed FURIA | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked FURIA | 75c | 252.44$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed MOUZ | 25c | 189.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed FURIA | 75c | 168.13$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked FURIA | 75c | 137.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…0c4cbacked FURIA | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked FURIA | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed MOUZ | 33c | 89.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed FURIA | 75c | 83.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed FURIA | 76c | 77.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked FURIA | 77c | 77.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…8e5dbacked MOUZ | 35c | 68.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed MOUZ | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed MOUZ | 28c | 44.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed FURIA | 75c | 36.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…516abacked FURIA | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…81eabacked MOUZ | 35c | 30.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed FURIA | 75c | 22.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed FURIA | 75c | 18.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked FURIA | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked FURIA | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.