TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA61c64,747$39,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,122.6976058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed MOUZ39c36,711$14,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,249.2914441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed MOUZ38c34,531$13,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,076.6325842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed FURIA59c9,350$5,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,825.6412353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ43c8,756$3,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,794.8381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FURIA55c8,335$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,715.5475450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ38c6,137$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.473,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.9997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ38c5,500$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.9723243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed FURIA59c5,480$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.6822049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FURIA54c5,216$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.8833452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ42c5,205$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.171,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ18c5,097$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.0917042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed MOUZ40c4,757$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.513743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ40c4,469$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.9539248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ34c4,143$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.362,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked FURIA61c4,030$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.6965650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked MOUZ38c4,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA57c3,957$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.564852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked MOUZ44c3,600$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.9929046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ53c3,196$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.6411133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fdd…e1fdbacked FURIA52c3,169$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.924276.2%32 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x827f…8027backed MOUZ34c3,167$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.68728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked FURIA69c3,015$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.1540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ42c2,992$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.2351252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ49c2,940$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.235,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd587…47f4backed MOUZ38c2,853$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed FURIA75c2,825$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.7712651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed FURIA57c2,573$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.6410047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA68c2,492$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.224,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked FURIA62c2,443$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.9241069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed FURIA60c2,358$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.6536742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed MOUZ22c2,341$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.846030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf697…655ebacked FURIA59c2,299$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed FURIA61c2,233$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.0235236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked FURIA63c2,230$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.0919355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed MOUZ37c2,222$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.1432425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ40c2,196$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.1749646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ39c2,104$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.8878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked MOUZ44c2,081$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.914057.9%81 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed MOUZ40c2,060$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.0313044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed MOUZ38c2,052$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.664136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9964552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FURIA63c1,845$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.81,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed FURIA56c1,737$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.621460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ50c1,630$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.631,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked FURIA53c1,630$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.4512148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked MOUZ39c1,601$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.1711241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked FURIA62c1,575$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.332962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ33c1,571$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.372,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA50c1,525$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.5875245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…7a6abacked MOUZ19c1,502$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.422245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed MOUZ6c1,439$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e8b…6d27backed FURIA59c1,417$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.531464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ30c1,393$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4215,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed MOUZ29c1,370$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.223036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked MOUZ35c1,350$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.529235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked FURIA72c1,322$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5618654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked FURIA63c1,315$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.738951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed FURIA55c1,309$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.8636555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked FURIA61c1,266$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.8926045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa18…c9eebacked FURIA55c1,257$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked MOUZ39c1,235$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.78232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed FURIA56c1,219$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.499054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed FURIA53c1,160$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.444766%31 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MOUZ39c1,126$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.723,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked FURIA63c1,090$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.8117357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ38c1,058$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0740253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.141,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed MOUZ38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38011645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed MOUZ39c999.99$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3951266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FURIA53c998$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.0641040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked FURIA52c950.24$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.6818049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed MOUZ46c945.99$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1614151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed FURIA63c931.24$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.5636749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf98…735fbacked FURIA65c899.51$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA59c895.42$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.391,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked FURIA59c851.41$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.081353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed MOUZ37c850$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.523852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ39c811.94$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a84…dd32backed MOUZ38c810.35$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.932020%4 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe7bd…19a9backed MOUZ23c748.98$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed MOUZ51c745.45$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.4928254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ37c743.24$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.4787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed MOUZ39c743.19$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed MOUZ39c736.02$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed FURIA54c728.44$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.521,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed MOUZ35c701.95$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7564046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed FURIA60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28026549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0018…e6fbbacked FURIA54c692.43$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.442774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed MOUZ39c684.63$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.081040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed FURIA56c681.4$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3542845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA75c673.17$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.571,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked FURIA67c609.44$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.131,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed MOUZ43c608.18$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.61625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked MOUZ35c605.91$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.126037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x955c…ce96backed MOUZ46c602.04$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked FURIA58c588.24$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0615838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1e…4123backed FURIA61c585.96$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.52955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.