TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,419,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,593,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,419,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 991 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed MOUZ53c629,532$333,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,722.583438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked FURIA49c298,406$147,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,239.1242440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked FURIA49c230,000$112,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,099.9139249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed FURIA49c209,417$102,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,231.5623839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed MOUZ52c114,059$59,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,129.6110551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed FURIA47c95,000$44,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,5007363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed FURIA47c90,000$41,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,1004557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked FURIA78c71,277$55,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,798.1622354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked MOUZ50c59,715$30,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,150.0112449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ50c49,994$24,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,997.2383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed FURIA47c40,000$18,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,199.981838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ51c40,000$20,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,449.9472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2fb…8931backed MOUZ22c30,179$6,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,639.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked FURIA45c30,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,499.986160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ49c28,470$13,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,950.375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ54c27,954$15,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,020.2411638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked FURIA47c24,991$11,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,245.3538358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed MOUZ53c23,973$12,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,594.158552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ21c23,587$5,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,011.9881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked MOUZ53c21,572$11,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,432.945641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55af…0715backed FURIA48c21,501$10,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,180.771872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked MOUZ51c19,031$9,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,7064738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked FURIA49c18,589$9,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,527.242774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ40c17,853$7,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,221.0249646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked FURIA46c17,676$8,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,556.155543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed FURIA48c17,342$8,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,017.598043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked FURIA50c15,585$7,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,792.510445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ53c15,507$8,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,218.9421048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FURIA47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,95036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed MOUZ50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50011654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed FURIA47c14,909$7,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,901.775848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed MOUZ53c14,690$7,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,745.593158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed MOUZ55c14,496$7,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,972.874252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ39c14,410$5,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,577.7242142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed FURIA50c14,119$7,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,059.5822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked FURIA49c12,814$6,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,548.5916248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked MOUZ55c12,790$7,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,006.6323249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed MOUZ50c12,773$6,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,386.6246243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ42c12,440$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,220.162,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked FURIA79c12,234$9,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.643778.4%29 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed MOUZ50c12,088$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.8716653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ51c11,941$6,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,142.4223848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ49c11,907$5,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,834.4347147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed FURIA47c11,111$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,888.7915947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked FURIA50c10,669$5,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,363.7714954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b1…092ebacked FURIA47c10,300$4,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4591643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed FURIA49c10,132$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,194.4736742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA48c10,092$4,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,247.6719757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ52c10,016$5,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,166.4575450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed FURIA48c9,819$4,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,066.2919055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed FURIA47c9,806$4,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,243.477256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8be2…494abacked FURIA48c9,793$4,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,117.771764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked FURIA43c9,348$4,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,290.3827452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed MOUZ59c8,646$5,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,117.087766.2%51 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed MOUZ50c8,560$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.984032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ48c8,378$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,060.3884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ17c8,348$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.43,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FURIA48c8,000$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,188.5897040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA57c7,962$4,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,402.7664852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed FURIA49c7,940$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,062.912955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ48c7,908$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.4432552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed MOUZ50c7,760$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,88013732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed FURIA48c7,212$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,723.6535236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked FURIA48c7,119$3,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.7511952.1%62 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ50c6,815$3,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.387940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed FURIA46c6,780$3,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,661.3825842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FURIA50c6,768$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.2133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ51c6,650$3,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,390.25,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ45c6,631$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.631,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed FURIA47c6,408$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.0425845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ49c6,398$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.0484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ43c6,388$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.4239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ50c6,351$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.3476058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed FURIA48c6,221$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked FURIA47c6,110$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.7925344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8a…433dbacked MOUZ49c6,030$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9771645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed MOUZ51c5,824$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.046259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed MOUZ48c5,780$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.8821351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd7…55f5backed MOUZ49c5,773$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed MOUZ51c5,332$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.4822049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked FURIA44c5,301$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.771942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed MOUZ6c5,124$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.698416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked FURIA47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FURIA48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ46c4,896$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.951,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed MOUZ10c4,861$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed MOUZ49c4,847$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed MOUZ55c4,832$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.6224544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ49c4,728$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.9435153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked FURIA67c4,673$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.178963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed FURIA47c4,500$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4007537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ42c4,422$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.3487047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ46c4,216$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.631,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked MOUZ49c4,214$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.8223952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA63c4,192$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.281,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked MOUZ23c4,122$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.1632536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed FURIA49c4,100$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0835442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed MOUZ50c4,000$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.9912253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.