TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under50c2,646$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.9123851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under79c1,814$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.2850054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Over51c1,015$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4678963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc9…4df4backed Over49c791.35$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.762744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Under48c775.56$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5352951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over53c749.83$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4164852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Over20c637.55$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5116350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over29c428.5$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.071,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Over50c413.8$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.92254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over25c399.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.431,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under47c395.69$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.721,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked Over51c357.39$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6921557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under70c353.76$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.543,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c306.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.933,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under54c303.4$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.981,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under51c297.91$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9861154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c296.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.441,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under51c291.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6847447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.526443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90f0…2923backed Under51c288.53$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.026543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over23c283.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.071,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Under45c253.96$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.684854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over31c223.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.15,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Over40c205.89$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3636645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x010c…eadabacked Over50c196.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4562…b300backed Under52c194.5$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under61c193.01$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.271,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over40c192.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1271951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a0…79ddbacked Over54c180.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.244062.5%25 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over34c169.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.982,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Over45c138.68$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.89734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Over51c134.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.934619.6%9 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over32c132.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4525042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5683…d16bbacked Over49c129.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over50c126.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Over39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1718748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Over28c117.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.591,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under59c106.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.612,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over35c106.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4364046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d58…de06backed Over49c101.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.582653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over24c100.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3658745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.477142.3%30 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4712955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Under51c97.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under59c97.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.641,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed Over53c97.88$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.92755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d4d…2152backed Over50c97.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.631435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Under46c93.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6920251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.593956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eae…d46dbacked Over50c86.23$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.124450%22 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked Under71c85.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2645663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d02…adadbacked Under59c82.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.721464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Over40c79.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8652750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Over50c77.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.825941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over28c73.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4445238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over30c68.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.733,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c64.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.492,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe910…57eebacked Over32c59.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1917043.5%74 W · 96 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0833153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbe…9fb7backed Over50c58.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2614953.7%80 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…972ebacked Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.15058%29 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x721b…a873backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.142757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa02a…9f2dbacked Over49c58.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6310…ec93backed Under70c56.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.113754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over50c55.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1115732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Over27c50.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7921741.5%90 W · 127 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Over49c49.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2418043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8e…232dbacked Over49c47.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.271656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over36c44.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7926037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad82…1075backed Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d1…8617backed Over45c38.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.271957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over53c38.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3111340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa1…71a1backed Over56c37.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.082429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93a…8a46backed Under52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.934967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over53c36.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4317850.6%90 W · 88 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad59…cb41backed Over54c36.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Under60c35.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.222651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under50c33.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.741,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed Under57c29.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.917617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe228…21e9backed Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37da…41d2backed Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.542420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbeb5…050bbacked Over54c28.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.561833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over50c27.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5833456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7588…0aa0backed Under75c25.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…b346backed Over49c25.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfad0…490fbacked Over49c23.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.632433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x90ae…61f5backed Over50c22.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.943145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under70c21.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1020646.6%96 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96b…be6bbacked Under65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.053860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe15…c560backed Under52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.